Over/Under Prediction Results

The Total Line models predict what the game "total" (home team score + away team score) will be. Among the 4 models, currently the RF Model is the “in play” model.

Predictions are made by comparing the predicted total to the total line. If the predicted total is larger than the total line, the over is picked. If the predicted total is smaller than the total line, the under is picked.

Model variable importance can be found below results dashboard. The performance of the model is evaluated in “units”, where a single unit represents a standard wager. A single unit is equal to 1.

There are different strategies that can be followed to make more efficient bets. The only strategy that is available in the dashboard below is “Same Pick GLM & RF” (only bet where the GLM Model and the RF Model share the same pick).