| 2021 Week 19 Money Line Predictions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Predictions show the estimated score of each team using XG-Boost/GLM/Random Forest Tuned Ensemble Model. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Home | Pred-Pts | EI | ML | Imp% | Pred% | Edge | EV | Open-Spread | Pred-Spread | Spread-Line | Pred-EI | Avg-EI | Open-Total | Pred-Total | Total-Line | Away | Pred-Pts | EI | ML | Imp% | Pred% | Edge | EV | SL-Edge | |||||||||
| Saturday | 04:30 PM |  |
26.02 | 0.41 | (-248) | (69.71%) | (59.01%) | -10.69% | -17.19 | 6.5 | 2.97 | 6.0 | 3.43 | 0.40 | 49.0 | 49.06 | 48.5 |  |
23.04 | 0.38 | (214) | (30.29%) | (40.99%) | 10.69% | 28.7 |  | |||||||
| Saturday | 08:15 PM |  |
26.82 | 0.36 | (-212) | (66.43%) | (55.32%) | -11.11% | -18.58 | 4.5 | 1.76 | 4.5 | 3.86 | 0.35 | 43.5 | 51.88 | 43.0 |  |
25.06 | 0.34 | (185) | (33.57%) | (44.68%) | 11.11% | 27.33 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
29.17 | 0.38 | (-352) | (76.22%) | (66.13%) | -10.08% | -15.08 | 9.5 | 5.32 | 7.5 | 3.47 | 0.37 | 49.5 | 53.01 | 45.5 |  |
23.84 | 0.36 | (293) | (23.78%) | (33.87%) | 10.08% | 33.09 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:30 PM |  |
27.96 | 0.39 | (-162) | (60.42%) | (61.15%) | 0.72% | -1.11 | 3.0 | 3.68 | 3.0 | 3.67 | 0.40 | 49.5 | 52.24 | 51.0 |  |
24.28 | 0.41 | (144) | (39.58%) | (38.85%) | -0.72% | -5.2 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 08:15 PM |  |
28.28 | 0.38 | (-697) | (85.69%) | (72.79%) | -12.89% | -16.76 | 13.0 | 7.52 | 13.0 | 3.66 | 0.38 | 47.5 | 49.04 | 46.0 |  |
20.76 | 0.38 | (522) | (14.31%) | (27.21%) | 12.89% | 69.23 |  | |||||||
| Monday | 08:15 PM |  |
25.87 | 0.39 | (-179) | (62.7%) | (54.44%) | -8.26% | -15.14 | 4.0 | 1.47 | 4.0 | 3.70 | 0.40 | 50.5 | 50.28 | 49.5 |  |
24.41 | 0.40 | (158) | (37.3%) | (45.56%) | 8.26% | 17.54 |  | |||||||
| Prediction Time: 01/17/2022 17:57:39 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bets based on where the predicted probability is greater than the implied probability. EI represents 'Excitement Index' and is used to indicate which games will be more exciting/volatile | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Opening lines are based on initial data pulled at beginning of a new week. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Data: nflfastR + nflgamedata.com Table: Joey Bloom @data_bears |
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| Link: Predictions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Link: Matchups | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Link: Plots | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Link: EI Plots | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
