| 2021 Week 18 Money Line Predictions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Predictions show the estimated score of each team using XG-Boost/GLM/Random Forest Tuned Ensemble Model. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Home | Pred-Pts | EI | ML | Imp% | Pred% | Edge | EV | Open-Spread | Pred-Spread | Spread-Line | Pred-EI | Avg-EI | Open-Total | Pred-Total | Total-Line | Away | Pred-Pts | EI | ML | Imp% | Pred% | Edge | EV | SL-Edge | |||||||||
| Saturday | 04:30 PM |  |
21.19 | 0.36 | (435) | (16.49%) | (35.31%) | 18.82% | 88.89 | -3.0 | -4.85 | -11.5 | 3.83 | 0.37 | 43.5 | 47.24 | 44.5 |  |
26.04 | 0.37 | (-600) | (83.51%) | (64.69%) | -18.82% | -24.52 |  | |||||||
| Saturday | 08:15 PM |  |
23.43 | 0.36 | (165) | (35.82%) | (45.13%) | 9.31% | 19.6 | -3.5 | -1.61 | -4.0 | 3.56 | 0.37 | 44.5 | 48.46 | 45.5 |  |
25.03 | 0.39 | (-195) | (64.18%) | (54.87%) | -9.31% | -16.99 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
25.14 | 0.40 | (-155) | (59.12%) | (64.9%) | 5.79% | 6.78 | 6.5 | 4.92 | 3.0 | 3.62 | 0.39 | 42.0 | 45.36 | 41.0 |  |
20.22 | 0.37 | (135) | (40.88%) | (35.1%) | -5.79% | -17.52 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
22.84 | 0.39 | (-265) | (70.43%) | (45.94%) | -24.48% | -36.72 | 1.5 | -1.34 | 6.5 | 3.53 | 0.41 | 46.0 | 47.03 | 38.5 |  |
24.18 | 0.44 | (215) | (29.57%) | (54.06%) | 24.48% | 70.27 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
18.77 | 0.36 | (155) | (37.46%) | (29.83%) | -7.63% | -23.93 | -11.0 | -6.66 | -3.5 | 3.88 | 0.37 | 46.5 | 44.2 | 45.0 |  |
25.43 | 0.39 | (-180) | (62.54%) | (70.17%) | 7.63% | 9.15 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
17.72 | 0.38 | (385) | (18.31%) | (30.6%) | 12.29% | 48.41 | -10.0 | -6.4 | -10.5 | 3.77 | 0.39 | 44.0 | 41.85 | 43.0 |  |
24.13 | 0.40 | (-525) | (81.69%) | (69.4%) | -12.29% | -17.38 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
19.35 | 0.36 | (700) | (10.33%) | (30.62%) | 20.28% | 144.93 | -8.5 | -6.4 | -14.0 | 3.78 | 0.38 | 44.5 | 45.09 | 43.0 |  |
25.74 | 0.39 | (-1125) | (89.67%) | (69.38%) | -20.28% | -24.45 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
26.17 | 0.43 | (-190) | (63.53%) | (69.04%) | 5.51% | 5.37 | 6.0 | 6.28 | 3.5 | 3.50 | 0.40 | 45.0 | 46.05 | 44.5 |  |
19.89 | 0.37 | (160) | (36.47%) | (30.96%) | -5.51% | -19.5 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 01:00 PM |  |
19.63 | 0.39 | (200) | (31.82%) | (41.27%) | 9.45% | 23.8 | -4.0 | -2.88 | -6.0 | 3.89 | 0.40 | 41.0 | 42.15 | 36.0 |  |
22.51 | 0.41 | (-230) | (68.18%) | (58.73%) | -9.45% | -15.73 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:25 PM |  |
26.25 | 0.39 | (-235) | (67.83%) | (66.03%) | -1.8% | -5.87 | 5.0 | 5.29 | 5.5 | 3.64 | 0.41 | 46.5 | 47.21 | 48.0 |  |
20.96 | 0.42 | (190) | (32.17%) | (33.97%) | 1.8% | -1.49 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:25 PM |  |
20.83 | 0.38 | (186) | (33.46%) | (51.19%) | 17.73% | 46.41 | -3.5 | 0.39 | -4.5 | 3.55 | 0.39 | 42.0 | 41.26 | 40.0 |  |
20.43 | 0.39 | (-213) | (66.54%) | (48.81%) | -17.73% | -28.28 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:25 PM |  |
27.36 | 0.39 | (-1250) | (90.41%) | (80.92%) | -9.49% | -12.61 | 17.0 | 10.2 | 16.0 | 3.56 | 0.38 | 45.0 | 44.51 | 43.0 |  |
17.15 | 0.38 | (750) | (9.59%) | (19.08%) | 9.49% | 62.19 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:25 PM |  |
25.73 | 0.39 | (-170) | (61.48%) | (57.6%) | -3.88% | -8.52 | 6.5 | 2.51 | 3.0 | 3.62 | 0.39 | 44.5 | 48.95 | 46.5 |  |
23.22 | 0.40 | (150) | (38.52%) | (42.4%) | 3.88% | 6 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:25 PM |  |
22.1 | 0.41 | (200) | (30.95%) | (45.42%) | 14.47% | 36.27 | -2.5 | -1.51 | -6.0 | 3.74 | 0.39 | 39.5 | 45.7 | 41.0 |  |
23.61 | 0.37 | (-250) | (69.05%) | (54.58%) | -14.47% | -23.59 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 04:25 PM |  |
27.67 | 0.38 | (-510) | (81.28%) | (75.95%) | -5.33% | -9.16 | 16.5 | 8.56 | 11.0 | 3.60 | 0.38 | 43.0 | 46.79 | 43.0 |  |
19.11 | 0.39 | (375) | (18.72%) | (24.05%) | 5.33% | 14.25 |  | |||||||
| Sunday | 08:20 PM |  |
23.67 | 0.41 | (155) | (37.46%) | (44.95%) | 7.48% | 14.62 | -2.5 | -1.67 | -3.5 | 3.86 | 0.43 | 47.5 | 49 | 48.0 |  |
25.34 | 0.45 | (-180) | (62.54%) | (55.05%) | -7.48% | -14.37 |  | |||||||
| Prediction Time: 01/09/2022 17:59:37 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bets based on where the predicted probability is greater than the implied probability. EI represents 'Excitement Index' and is used to indicate which games will be more exciting/volatile | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Opening lines are based on initial data pulled at beginning of a new week. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Data: nflfastR + nflgamedata.com Table: Joey Bloom @data_bears |
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| Link: Predictions | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Link: Matchups | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Link: Plots | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Link: EI Plots | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
